California 49th — House 2026 General Election
The California 49th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat Mike Levin the clear favorite at 80%, ahead of Republican Star Parker at 20%. Mike Levin is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Mike Levin (incumbent) — 80%
- Star Parker — 20%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.