California 48th — House 2026 General Election
The California 48th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Jim Desmond the clear favorite at 89%, ahead of Democrat Marni von Wilpert at 11%. Jim Desmond leads the field in reported fundraising and Marni von Wilpert has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Jim Desmond — 89%
- Marni von Wilpert — 11%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.