California 47th — House 2026 Primary

The California 47th — House primary is scheduled for June 2, 2026. The model makes Democrat Dave Min the clear favorite at 76%, ahead of Republican Michael Maxsenti at 4% in a 8-candidate field. Dave Min is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

1. Dave Min (incumbent) — 76%
2. Michael Maxsenti — 4%
3. Jenny Le Roux — 4%
4. Christopher J. Gonzales — 4%
5. Derrick M. Reid — 3%
6. Hunter Garcia Miranda — 3%
7. Bill Brough — 3%
8. Jesus Patino — 3%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

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