California 46th — House 2026 General Election
The California 46th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat Lou Correa the heavy favorite at 100%, with Democrat Francisco Bahena at 0%. Lou Correa is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Lou Correa (incumbent) — 100%
- Francisco Bahena — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.