California 43th — House 2026 General Election
The California 43th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat Maxine Waters the heavy favorite at 100%, with Republican Cristian Morales at 0%. Maxine Waters is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Maxine Waters (incumbent) — 100%
- Cristian Morales — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.