California 41th — House 2026 Primary

The California 41th — House primary is scheduled for June 2, 2026. The model sees a close race: Democrat Linda Sánchez edges Democrat Hector De La Torre, 41% to 37% in a 4-candidate field. Linda Sánchez is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Linda Sánchez (incumbent) — 41%
  2. Hector De La Torre — 37%
  3. Shonique Williams — 18%
  4. Mitch Clemmons — 4%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model