California 40th — House 2026 General Election
The California 40th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model sees a close race: Republican Young Kim edges Republican Ken Calvert, 52% to 48%. Young Kim is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising and Ken Calvert has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Young Kim (incumbent) — 52%
- Ken Calvert (incumbent) — 48%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.