California 39th — House 2026 Primary
The California 39th — House primary is scheduled for June 2, 2026. The model sees a close race: Democrat Mark Takano edges Republican Steve Manos, 50% to 50%. Mark Takano is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Mark Takano (incumbent) — 50%
- Steve Manos — 50%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.