California 39th — House 2026 General Election
The California 39th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat Mark Takano the heavy favorite at 100%, with Republican Steve Manos at 0%. Mark Takano is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Mark Takano (incumbent) — 100%
- Steve Manos — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.