California 38th — House 2026 Primary
The California 38th — House primary is scheduled for June 2, 2026. The model favors Democrat Hilda Solis at 56%, ahead of Democrat Monica Sánchez at 35% in a 4-candidate field. Hilda Solis leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Hilda Solis — 56%
- Monica Sánchez — 35%
- Pedro Antonio Casas — 5%
- Erik Lutz — 4%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated October 26, 2026.