California 36th — House 2026 General Election
The California 36th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat Ted Lieu the heavy favorite at 100%, with Republican Houston Brignano at 0%. Ted Lieu is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Ted Lieu (incumbent) — 100%
- Houston Brignano — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.