California 33th — House 2026 General Election
The California 33th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat Pete Aguilar the heavy favorite at 100%, with Republican Tom Herman at 0%. Pete Aguilar is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Pete Aguilar (incumbent) — 100%
- Tom Herman — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.