California 32th — House 2026 Primary

The California 32th — House primary is scheduled for June 2, 2026. The model sees a close race: Democrat Brad Sherman edges Democrat Jake Levine, 43% to 42% in a 9-candidate field. Brad Sherman is the incumbent and has the most tracked endorsements and Jake Levine leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Brad Sherman (incumbent) — 43%
  2. Jake Levine — 42%
  3. Larry Thompson — 3%
  4. Chris Ahuja — 3%
  5. Dory Benami — 2%
  6. Josh Sautter — 2%
  7. Marena Lin — 2%
  8. Doug Smith — 2%

+1 more candidates

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model