California 31th — House 2026 Primary
The California 31th — House primary is scheduled for June 2, 2026. The model sees a close race: Democrat Gil Cisneros edges Republican Eric Ching, 47% to 39% in a 3-candidate field. Gil Cisneros is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Gil Cisneros (incumbent) — 47%
- Eric Ching — 39%
- Erskine Levi — 14%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.