California 30th — House 2026 Primary
The California 30th — House primary is scheduled for June 2, 2026. The model favors Democrat Laura Friedman at 74%, ahead of John Armenian at 7% in a 7-candidate field. Laura Friedman is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Laura Friedman (incumbent) — 74%
- John Armenian — 7%
- Scott A. Meyers — 6%
- Pini Herman — 4%
- Dennis Feitosa — 4%
- Joel Lava — 3%
- Cameron Tennyson — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.