California 29th — House 2026 Primary

The California 29th — House primary is scheduled for June 2, 2026. The model sees a close race: Democrat Luz Rivas edges Democrat Angélica María Dueñas, 47% to 38% in a 3-candidate field. Luz Rivas is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Luz Rivas (incumbent) — 47%
  2. Angélica María Dueñas — 38%
  3. Rudy Melendez — 16%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

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