California 29th — House 2026 Primary
The California 29th — House primary is scheduled for June 2, 2026. The model has Democrat Luz Rivas narrowly ahead of Republican Rudy Melendez, 53% to 31% in a 3-candidate field. Luz Rivas is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Luz Rivas (incumbent) — 53%
- Rudy Melendez — 31%
- Angélica María Dueñas — 16%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.