California 28th — House 2026 Primary
The California 28th — House primary is scheduled for June 2, 2026. The model favors Democrat Judy Chu at 65%, ahead of Republican April Verlato at 21% in a 3-candidate field. Judy Chu is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Judy Chu (incumbent) — 65%
- April Verlato — 21%
- Peter Roybal — 15%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.