California 26th — House 2026 General Election
The California 26th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat Jacqui Irwin the clear favorite at 75%, ahead of Democrat Chris Espinosa at 25%. Jacqui Irwin leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Jacqui Irwin — 75%
- Chris Espinosa — 25%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.