California 25th — House 2026 Primary
The California 25th — House primary is scheduled for June 2, 2026. The model sees a close race: Democrat Raul Ruiz edges Republican Joe Males, 44% to 35% in a 4-candidate field. Raul Ruiz is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Raul Ruiz (incumbent) — 44%
- Joe Males — 35%
- Ceci Truman — 16%
- Ron Huffman — 5%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.