California 25th — House 2026 General Election
The California 25th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat Raul Ruiz the clear favorite at 79%, ahead of Republican Joe Males at 21%. Raul Ruiz is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Raul Ruiz (incumbent) — 79%
- Joe Males — 21%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.