California 24th — House 2026 General Election
The California 24th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat Salud Carbajal the heavy favorite at 100%, with Republican Bob Smith at 0%. Salud Carbajal is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Salud Carbajal (incumbent) — 100%
- Bob Smith — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.