California 22th — House 2026 Primary
The California 22th — House primary is scheduled for June 2, 2026. The model sees a close race: Democrat Randy Villegas edges Republican David Valadao, 33% to 33% in a 3-candidate field. David Valadao leads the field in reported fundraising, Randy Villegas has the most tracked endorsements, and incumbent David Valadao trails in the forecast. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Randy Villegas — 33%
- David Valadao (incumbent) — 33%
- Jasmeet Bains — 33%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.