California 20th — House 2026 Primary

The California 20th — House primary is scheduled for June 2, 2026. The model favors Republican Vince Fong at 68%, ahead of Ben Dewell at 13% in a 4-candidate field. Vince Fong is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Vince Fong (incumbent) — 68%
  2. Ben Dewell — 13%
  3. Jeremy Fox — 13%
  4. Sandra Van Scotter — 6%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model