California 19th — House 2026 Primary
The California 19th — House primary is scheduled for June 2, 2026. The model favors Democrat Jimmy Panetta at 66%, ahead of Democrat Sean Dougherty at 16% in a 6-candidate field. Jimmy Panetta is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Jimmy Panetta (incumbent) — 66%
- Sean Dougherty — 16%
- Peter Verbica — 6%
- Thomas Coxe — 4%
- Lars Mapstead — 4%
- Tuka Gafari — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.