California 19th — House 2026 General Election

The California 19th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat Jimmy Panetta the clear favorite at 75%, ahead of Democrat Sean Dougherty at 25%. Jimmy Panetta is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Jimmy Panetta (incumbent) — 75%
  2. Sean Dougherty — 25%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

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