California 17th — House 2026 Primary
The California 17th — House primary is scheduled for June 2, 2026. The model favors Democrat Ro Khanna at 56%, ahead of Democrat Ethan Agarwal at 31% in a 6-candidate field. Ro Khanna is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Ro Khanna (incumbent) — 56%
- Ethan Agarwal — 31%
- Ritesh Tandon — 5%
- Joe Dehn — 3%
- Jennie Ha Phan — 3%
- Mike Katz — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.