California 17th — House 2026 Primary
The California 17th — House primary is scheduled for June 2, 2026. The model favors Democrat Ro Khanna at 61%, ahead of Democrat Ethan Agarwal at 26% in a 6-candidate field. Ro Khanna is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Ro Khanna (incumbent) — 61%
- Ethan Agarwal — 26%
- Joe Dehn — 4%
- Jennie Ha Phan — 3%
- Ritesh Tandon — 3%
- Mike Katz — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.