California 16th — House 2026 General Election
The California 16th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat Sam Liccardo the heavy favorite at 100%, with Republican Kevin Johnson at 0%. Sam Liccardo is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Sam Liccardo (incumbent) — 100%
- Kevin Johnson — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.