California 14th — House 2026 Primary
The California 14th — House primary is scheduled for June 2, 2026. The model sees a close race: Democrat Aisha Wahab edges Democrat Melissa Hernandez, 43% to 36% in a 8-candidate field. Aisha Wahab leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Aisha Wahab — 43%
- Melissa Hernandez — 36%
- Wendy Huang — 9%
- Matt Ortega — 4%
- Carin Elam — 2%
- Suzanne Chenault — 2%
- Victor Aguilar Jr. — 2%
- Rakhi Israni Singh — 2%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.