California 12th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The California 12th — House dem primary is scheduled for June 2, 2026. The model sees a close race: Lateefah Simon edges Jamie Joyce, 50% to 50%. Lateefah Simon is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Lateefah Simon (incumbent) — 50%
- Jamie Joyce — 50%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.