California 12th — House 2026 General Election
The California 12th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat Lateefah Simon the clear favorite at 75%, ahead of Democrat Jamie Joyce at 25%. Lateefah Simon is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Lateefah Simon (incumbent) — 75%
- Jamie Joyce — 25%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.