California 11th — House 2026 Primary
The California 11th — House primary is scheduled for June 2, 2026. The model sees a close race: Democrat Saikat Chakrabarti edges Democrat Scott Wiener, 33% to 32% in a 11-candidate field. Saikat Chakrabarti leads the field in reported fundraising and Connie Chan has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Saikat Chakrabarti — 33%
- Scott Wiener — 32%
- Connie Chan — 21%
- Marie Hurabiell — 6%
- Omed Hamid — 1%
- Nathan Deer — 1%
- David Ganezer — 1%
- Jingchao Xiong — 1%
+3 more candidates
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.