California 11th — House 2026 General Election
The California 11th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat Scott Wiener the clear favorite at 77%, ahead of Democrat Connie Chan at 23%. Scott Wiener leads the field in reported fundraising and Connie Chan has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Scott Wiener — 77%
- Connie Chan — 23%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.