California 9th — House 2026 Primary
The California 9th — House primary is scheduled for June 2, 2026. The model makes Democrat Josh Harder the clear favorite at 80%, ahead of Republican John McBride at 5% in a 5-candidate field. Josh Harder is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Josh Harder (incumbent) — 80%
- John McBride — 5%
- Parminder "Happy" Singh — 5%
- Khalid Jeffrey Jafri — 5%
- Martin "Vmann" Veprauskas — 5%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.