California 7th — House 2026 Primary
The California 7th — House primary is scheduled for June 2, 2026. The model sees a close race: Democrat Doris Matsui edges Democrat Mai Vang, 49% to 42% in a 6-candidate field. Doris Matsui is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Doris Matsui (incumbent) — 49%
- Mai Vang — 42%
- Robert Morin — 3%
- Ralph Nwobi — 3%
- Zachariah Wooden — 3%
- Enayat Nazhat — 2%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.