California 6th — House 2026 General Election
The California 6th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model favors Kevin Kiley at 61%, ahead of Democrat Richard Pan at 39%. Kevin Kiley is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising and Richard Pan has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Kevin Kiley (incumbent) — 61%
- Richard Pan — 39%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.