California 5th — House 2026 General Election
The California 5th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Tom McClintock the heavy favorite at 100%, with Democrat Michael Masuda at 0%. Tom McClintock is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising and Michael Masuda has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Tom McClintock (incumbent) — 100%
- Michael Masuda — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.