California 3rd — House 2026 General Election
The California 3rd — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat Ami Bera the heavy favorite at 100%, with Republican Robb Tucker at 0%. Ami Bera is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Ami Bera (incumbent) — 100%
- Robb Tucker — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.