California Governor 2026 General Election
The California Governor general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat Xavier Becerra the clear favorite at 86%, ahead of Republican Steve Hilton at 14%. Steve Hilton leads the field in reported fundraising and Xavier Becerra has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Xavier Becerra — 86%
- Steve Hilton — 14%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.