Arizona 9th — House 2026 General Election
The Arizona 9th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Paul Gosar the heavy favorite at 100%, with Democrat Danielle Sterbinsky at 0%. Paul Gosar is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Paul Gosar (incumbent) — 100%
- Danielle Sterbinsky — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.