Arizona 6th — House 2026 General Election
The Arizona 6th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model sees a close race: Democrat JoAnna Mendoza edges Republican Juan Ciscomani, 50% to 50%. JoAnna Mendoza leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements and incumbent Juan Ciscomani trails in the forecast. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- JoAnna Mendoza — 50%
- Juan Ciscomani (incumbent) — 50%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.