Arizona 5th — House 2026 General Election
The Arizona 5th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Daniel Keenan the heavy favorite at 100%, with Democrat Chris James at 0%. Daniel Keenan leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Daniel Keenan — 100%
- Chris James — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.