Arizona 4th — House 2026 Rep Primary
The Arizona 4th — House rep primary is scheduled for July 21, 2026. The model makes Zuhdi Jasser the clear favorite at 82%, ahead of Jerone Davison at 18%. Zuhdi Jasser leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Zuhdi Jasser — 82%
- Jerone Davison — 18%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.