Arizona 2nd — House 2026 General Election
The Arizona 2nd — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Eli Crane the heavy favorite at 92%, with Democrat Jonathan Nez at 8%. Eli Crane is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising and Jonathan Nez has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Eli Crane (incumbent) — 92%
- Jonathan Nez — 8%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.