Arizona 2nd — House 2026 General Election
The Arizona 2nd — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model favors Republican Eli Crane at 59%, ahead of Democrat Jonathan Nez at 41%. Eli Crane is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising and Jonathan Nez has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Eli Crane (incumbent) — 59%
- Jonathan Nez — 41%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated October 26, 2026.