Arizona 2nd — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Arizona 2nd — House dem primary is scheduled for July 21, 2026. The model makes Jonathan Nez the heavy favorite at 97%, with Eric Descheenie at 3%. Jonathan Nez leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Jonathan Nez — 97%
- Eric Descheenie — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.