Arizona 1st — House 2026 General Election
The Arizona 1st — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model favors Democrat Jonathan Treble at 56%, ahead of Republican Jay Feely at 44%. Jonathan Treble leads the field in reported fundraising and Jay Feely has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Jonathan Treble — 56%
- Jay Feely — 44%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.