Arizona 1st — House 2026 General Election
The Arizona 1st — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model favors Republican Jay Feely at 56%, ahead of Democrat Amish Shah at 44%. Jay Feely leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Jay Feely — 56%
- Amish Shah — 44%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.