Arizona Governor 2026 Rep Primary

The Arizona Governor rep primary is scheduled for July 21, 2026. The model makes Andy Biggs the clear favorite at 84%, ahead of David Schweikert at 10% in a 4-candidate field. Andy Biggs leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Andy Biggs — 84%
  2. David Schweikert — 10%
  3. Scott Neely — 3%
  4. Ken Miceli — 3%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model