Arizona Governor 2026 General Election
The Arizona Governor general election is on November 3, 2026. The model favors Democrat Katie Hobbs at 72%, ahead of Republican Andy Biggs at 28%. Katie Hobbs is the incumbent and Andy Biggs has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Katie Hobbs (incumbent) — 72%
- Andy Biggs — 28%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.