Arkansas 3rd — House 2026 Dem Primary

The Arkansas 3rd — House dem primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model makes Robb Ryerse the heavy favorite at 97%, with Bobby Wilson at 3%. Robb Ryerse leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Robb Ryerse — 97%
  2. Bobby Wilson — 3%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

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