Arkansas 1st — House 2026 General Election
The Arkansas 1st — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Rick Crawford the heavy favorite at 100%, with Democrat Steve Parsons at 0%. Rick Crawford is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Rick Crawford (incumbent) — 100%
- Steve Parsons — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.