Arkansas 1st — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Arkansas 1st — House dem primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model makes Terri Yarbrough Green the heavy favorite at 96%, with Steve Parsons at 4%. Terri Yarbrough Green leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Terri Yarbrough Green — 96%
- Steve Parsons — 4%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.